Kalshi Traders Put December 12 Shutdown Odds at 39.8%
Kalshi traders are pricing a 39.8% chance that the US government shuts down on December 12, according to Cointelegraph. The prediction market read lands roughly two-in-five, a live gauge of how real traders see the deadline risk.
- Original source: X account @Cointelegraph.
- The source published it on Nov 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM.
- No second outlet has reported it yet. Treat it as a single-source claim.
- It comes from X posts, not a news outlet.
Kalshi traders are putting the odds of a US government shutdown on December 12 at 39.8%, Cointelegraph reported. That's the market's live read on whether Washington fails to fund operations before the deadline.
Kalshi is a prediction market where users trade contracts tied to real-world outcomes, so the number reflects money on the line rather than a poll. At 39.8%, the market sees the shutdown scenario as a live possibility, not a long shot.
TopicsKalshi · US government · Cointelegraph
Source: x.com
Written by Paparazzi with AI. Not financial advice.
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