Kalshi says its picks won 479 of 487 midterm races, a 98% hit rate

Kalshi says its favored candidates came out on top in 479 of 487 US midterm races as of the latest count, per a post from Cointelegraph. That's a 98% accuracy rate, the platform says — and it's quick to point out those predictions were made before a single vote was counted.

The pitch is simple: don't trust pundits, watch where the money goes. Kalshi runs a regulated prediction market where users buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, and the prices double as a probability read on who wins what. When 479 of 487 calls land, that's a marketing gift.

Kalshi frames the result as proof its markets were sharper than the conventional playbook. Forecasters and poll aggregators have taken heat for missing races in past cycles, so a nearly clean sweep on pre-vote predictions is the kind of stat the platform will be waving around for a while.

There's a caveat baked into the number itself: 487 races is where the count stands so far, not the final tally. A handful of contests are still unresolved, and those eight misses could shift as the remaining results firm up.

Either way, Kalshi is turning an election cycle into a scoreboard — and daring anyone to beat it next time.